Decisions in Volatile Times
Pre-mortems, reversible decisions, decision rules and adapting quickly.
Red Teaming a Decision: Pre-Mortems, Devil's Advocates and More
How to attack your own plan before reality does, using a root-cause pre-mortem, an assumptions check, devil's advocacy and a simple speaking rule.
Read · 5 min read →Decisions in Volatile TimesDecision Velocity: When 70% of the Information Is Enough
Why speed is part of decision quality in volatile times, and practical ways to decide sooner without deciding recklessly.
Read · 5 min read →Decisions in Volatile TimesThe Cynefin Framework: Matching Your Approach to the Situation
A plain-language guide to the Cynefin framework's domains, what to do in each, and how to use it when a problem has several parts at once.
Read · 6 min read →Decisions in Volatile TimesThe OODA Loop: Faster, Better-Oriented Decision Cycles
What John Boyd's observe-orient-decide-act loop really says, why orientation matters more than raw speed, and how to apply it to business decisions.
Read · 5 min read →Decisions in Volatile TimesReal-Options Thinking: Small Bets That Keep Your Choices Open
How to spend a little now to keep the right to expand, delay, switch or exit later, and how to tell when a small bet has earned a big commitment.
Read · 5 min read →Decisions in Volatile TimesDecision Rules and Checklists: Deciding Before the Crunch
How to write if-then decision rules, decision points and short checklists in calm times so your team can act quickly and consistently when pressure hits.
Read · 5 min read →